Iowa Republican Caucus LIVE: Follow Daily Mail’s coverage as thousands brave the state’s


Thousands of Iowans will flock to precincts in sub-zero temperatures tonight to support their Republican presidential candidate in the caucuses.

The voting will begin at 7pm Central Time (8pm Eastern Time) in the first official event of the GOP race for the White House.

Donald Trump enters as the favorite with a resounding 28-point lead in the latest poll.

Follow DailyMail.com’s live coverage of the build-up to the blockbuster night.

After more than a year of campaigning, the Republicans vying to be president will finally face a vote tonight.

Thousands in Iowa will brave the dangerous sub-zero temperatures to support their candidates in the first contest of the GOP primary.

DailyMail.com will have continous coverage of all the developments throughout the day, before voting begins at 7pm Central Time. (8pm ET).

Here is everything you need to know about what will happen.

Marjorie Taylor Greene wears massive furry coat in sub-zero Iowa as she hypes up Donald Trump volunteers working to turn out voters TONIGHT

Eric Trump says media is ‘desperate’ for a ‘horse race’ in Iowa and will downplay what success looks like for Donald

On January 10, Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley took part in a head-to-head debate in Iowa.

FILE - Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, right and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, left, pointing at each other during the CNN Republican presidential debate at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa, Jan. 10, 2024. In 2024, Iowa will again hold the first Republican contest. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)

Exclusive polling for DailyMail.com showed viewers reactions to what they saw.

This is what they thought of Ron DeSantis:

And this is what they thought of Nikki Haley:

President Joe Biden raised more than $97 million in the final three months of last year for his re-election campaign as he prepares to make his case to voters for a second term.

The amount was more money than the $68 million that former President Barack Obama raised during the same period of his reelection but it was dwarfed by the $154 million that former President Donald Trump raised for his.

Biden’s war chest was boosted by a series of star-studded fundraising events, including one in Boston that featured singer-songwriter James Taylor, and three days in California for gatherings with Steven SpielbergBarbra Streisand, Shonda Rhimes, Rob Reiner, and David Geffen.

The Biden campaign pointed out that Trump and his top primary competitors have already spent $100 million on advertising in Iowa alone.

The first votes for the Republican nominee will be cast on Monday when Iowa citizens attend the state’s caucuses.

Who is ahead in national polls?

An average of polls showsTrump far ahead.

Who's ahead in the national polls?Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.APRIL 1, 2023JULY 1OCT. 10102030405060708090100%TrumpDeSantisHaleyRamaswamyNOV. 30, 2023 LEADERNOV. 30, 2023 LEADERTrumpTrump60.0%KEYESTIMATE95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGEAverage as of Nov. 30, 2023Trump60.0%DeSantis12.6%Haley9.5%Ramaswamy5.1%Christie2.9%Burgum1.1%Hutchinson0.7%DROPOUTSHurd-Pence-Scott-Suarez-Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers

Iowa Republican strategist: ‘It’s not just cold. This is painful, this is dangerous’

Iowa Republican strategist David Kochel has told CNN said the ‘painful’ and ‘dangerous’ conditions could keep voters at home – and produce a ‘surpirse’ result in the caucus.

Last week he estimated that 150,000 voters would show up, but since then the life-threatening cold has upended his predictions.

He now thinks turnout will be lower, and could spark an unexpected finish.

‘It’s not just cold. This is painful, this is dangerous.’

‘In rural counties where, you know, they don’t get plowed as quickly, you know you go in the ditch — your car’s not coming out; your battery might be dead.’

Candidates have been telling Iowans to get to their precincts and have been doing everything they can to make sure it is safe to travel.

Turnout will be key to victory.

Exclusive DailyMail.com poll shows Nikki Haley struggling with Republican base

POLITICS GRAPHICS 12904017 Nikki Haley beats Joe Biden by five points in exclusive national pollGraph chart bar graphic December 27 2023

As they forge across the frozen expanses of Iowa some of them have icicles slowly sprouting on their eyebrows and beards, others are wrapped in blankets on top of their winter coats.

These are the Hawkeye state’s die-hard caucus-goers, who refuse to be cowed by the worst nature can throw at them.

It is currently so cold in Iowa that coffee freezes instantly when you spill it. Back-to-back blizzards have turned roads into ice rinks. Hundreds of flights in and out have been canceled.

Iowans are supremely passionate about their role as the first state to have a say in the presidential nomination contest. Their job is to examine and winnow the field; they are determined to do their duty.

Despite the elements some have repeatedly driven hundreds of miles to see Republican candidates speak, their knuckles turning white from gripping the steering wheel to stop sliding in the snow.

DailyMail.com has spent a week traversing Iowa and spoken to those who will ultimately decide who wins the caucuses.

Donald Trump gives a shoutout to the UK’s Nigel Farage

Nikki Haley says she will make history today

Nikki Haley told supporters in Iowa this morning: ‘Today is the day we make history because we tuned out the noise of the media, the noise of the politicians.

‘And we raised the voices of the American people who say “We want a better day.”

‘We are going to make it happen.’

Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign stop at the Drake Diner on the day of the Iowa Caucus vote in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., January 15, 2024.   REUTERS/Brian Snyder     TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

Trump ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene is in Iowa to support the former president

The Republican from Georgia stood next to a snow bank nearly taller than her in the post on X.

She arrived Sunday in order to help get out the vote in support of Donald Trump.

Ron DeSantis has been speaking to CNN at his Iowa HQ

‘When [Trump] was president, I supported his policies,’ DeSantis told CNN on Monday ahead of the caucuses.

‘He was under assault from the left and the media. I was happy to do that, because he was our chance to get things done in a positive direction.’

The Florida governor went on to say he’s ‘happy’ for Republicans who do well.

‘When you’re in a primary situation, I want Republicans to do well. If someone’s endorsed me, great. If they haven’t, if they’re doing a good job, I’m happy for that.’

‘I want our party to do well. Donald Trump is not that way. He wants to trash Gov. [Kim] Reynolds who is gold here in Iowa, simply because she’s on my team.’

Young Republicans ‘will turn up’ and ‘electability’ is a key issue for them

Mary Weston, chair of the Iowa Young Republicans, says young voters will brave the elements.

She says: ‘For those of you from the South that might be laughing at us, it is actually dangerously cold. Ten minutes exposure to the skin can cause frostbite.

‘But I do encourage all Iowans listening, please get out and caucus bundle up. We have prepared way too long for this to not show up tonight and support our favorite candidate.’

She added: ‘As much as policies are important we talk a lot in our meetings and our get togethers about the term electability.

‘You know, who is that nominee that’s gonna go and beat Joe Biden, who’s the nominee that’s going to reach out to the independents and the moderates and make sure that, you know, they defeat Joe Biden in November?’

Donald Trump questions Nikki Haley’s claim that she is rising in the polls: ‘What’s up?’

‘Nikki just said on Fox & Friends that she’s up in the polls, but I’m beating her by 57 points. What’s up?’ former President Donald Trump posted to Truth Social.

The latest Iowa primary poll released Saturday showed Haley moving into second place with 20 percent.

However, Trump maintains his iron grip on the nomination race at 48 percent in the poll.

Although he commands 48 percent support in the poll, he is down three from December, while with Haley rose four points from 16 percent to 20 percent.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis was on 16 percent (down three) from December.

FILE PHOTO: Former U.S. President and Republican candidate Donald Trump makes a keynote speech at a Republican fundraising dinner in Columbia, South Carolina, U.S. August 5, 2023.  REUTERS/Sam Wolfe/File Photo

The former president also referenced a recent CNN poll from last week showing that Haley is closing in on Trump’s lead in New Hampshire at 39% to 32%.

It was the second time a poll shows Haley within single digits of Trump in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, a Suffolk University/Boston Globe/USA Today puts Haley 19 points behind Trump in New Hampshire – 27 percent to 46 percent respectively. The poll showed Christie in third and DeSantis in fourth.

‘Fox & Friends is giving DeSanctimonious & Haley one last shot. They are working hard, even using an old CNN Fake Poll, which shows I am only up on Birdbrain by 9 points in New Hampshire (all other polls say 20 to 25 points up!).’

‘Why are they using CNN polls? That’s why! Nikki is using an old poll to show she’s beating Crooked Joe. She’s not. Almost all new polls show she is being decimated by him.’

‘I am beating Crooked Joe, by a lot, in the polls. MAGA!’

Trump’s potential running mate South Dakota governor Kristi Noem urges voters to caucus

Matt Gaetz, the Florida congressman, is in Iowa to support Donald Trump

National Weather Service in Iowa warns ‘frigid conditions’ will continue – with highs ‘below zero’

Temperatures are not expected to get above zero in Iowa until after the caucuses, the National Weather Service said on Monday morning.

‘Frigid conditions are expected to continue, with coldest conditions today as highs remain below zero,’ the NWS posted on X.

The roads have been turned into ice rinks and at least one person has died in the state as a result of the brutal cold.

The cold is expected to let up by midweek, when the focus in the Republican race shifts to the New Hampshire primary.

Ron DeSantis says ‘I know it’s really cold’ but GO OUT and vote in caucuses tonight

Nikki Haley meets diners in Des Moines and insists die-hard Iowans will turn out to support her

Nikki Haley was working hard to get crucial final caucus votes on Monday morning as she greeted customers at the Drake Diner in Des Moines.

The former U.N. Ambassador said Americans want to talk about the economy and fixing the border and not ‘whether somebody’s MAGA or not’.

She was referring to Donald Trump accusing rival Vivek Ramaswamy of not being part of the MAGA movement.

This is not what Americans want to be talking about. They’re wanting to know why economy’s high, why inflation’s high, why everything’s more expensive, they want to know why we aren’t focused on getting our kids reading again, they want to know how we’re allowing the lawlessness at the border, it’s out of control, not whether somebody’s MAGA or not

She told Fox and Friends that die-hard Iowans are not deterred by the brutal cold and will be out supporting her.

They need to layer up and bring photo ID and stay for a bit. They are ready to do it. This is their responsibility to set the tone for the country.

The former South Carolina governor is behind Trump in the polls and in a battle for second with Ron DeSantis.

She exuded confidence that she can perform well and even beat Joe Biden in the general election, if he makes it that far.

We can’t have a President Kamala harris. Our country won’t survive it. We can’t have a nail biter of election. If you elect me today, I will defeat Joe Biden and get our country back on track.

DES MOINES, IOWA - JANUARY 15: Republican presidential candidate former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley greets diners during a campaign stop at the Drake Diner January 15, 2024 in Des Moines, Iowa.Iowa Republicans will be the first to select their party's nominee for the 2024 presidential race when they begin to caucus this evening. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, center, greets supporters during a campaign event at Drake Diner, in Des Moines, Iowa, Monday, Jan. 15, 2024. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

Iowa weather update: Wind chills as low as -35 degrees as snow surrounds the Des Moines state capitol

The Iowa State Capitol in Des Moines was surrounded by snow on Monday morning with just hours until the caucues.

Forecasters predict wind chills as low as minus 35 degrees as the state deals with the Arctic blast sweeping most of the country.

The sub-zero temperatures are set to persist until around Tuesday at noon, when we may already know which Republican candidate was victorious.

The Iowa State Capitol building is viewed, Monday, Jan. 15, 2024 in Des Moines, Iowa. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

Sub-zero temperatures aren’t stopping 2024 Republican candidates from deploying their families to campaign alongside them in the middle of a winter storm the days before Iowa‘s caucuses.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy have had their wives and young children join them on the campaign trail for large chunks of the primary cycle.

But some other family members are also jumping in for Hawkeye State events now that the primary contest is nearing – this includes Donald Trump Jr. as well as former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley‘s two adult children.

Ramaswamy, 38, travels with his wife Apoorva – a 34-year-old throat surgeon – and their two children Karthik, three, and Arjun, one.

Florida First Lady Casey DeSantis, 43, has consistently been on the road with her husband from the start, along with their three kids: Madison, six; Mason, five; and Mamie, three.

Iowa man found dead outside a convenience store over weekend as life-threatening ‘bomb cyclone’ causing subzero temperatures in Iowa continues on caucus day

At least one Iowan has been found dead due to subzero temperatures in Iowa.

A man was found outside of a convenience store in Urbandale, Iowa, on Saturday as the 2024 GOP presidential hopefuls made their last pitches to voters across the state.

Law enforcement authorities are still working to identify the man and said the extreme cold likely played a part of his death.

The bitter temperatures could impact tonight’s GOP caucuses as voters must meet in-person to elect their primary candidate.

Snow covers a lawn sign in support of former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., January 14, 2024. REUTERS/Cheney Orr

On Sunday, Donald Trump told Iowans preparing to caucus that ‘if you vote and then pass away, it’s worth it.’

As the state battles life-threatening cold before the crucial Monday vote, the former president told his passionate supporters in Indianola, Iowa on Sunday that they can’t ‘sit at home’.

Wind chills are as low as minus 18 degrees and residents are warned they could get frostbite outside if they expose their skin for 10 minutes.

The 77-year-old imagined a couple getting ready to head out in the sub-zero temperatures to show their support during his rally remarks.

‘If you’re sick as a dog, you say, darling — even if you vote and then pass away, it’s worth it,’ he said to some laughter from supporters who braved the frigid weather to hear him speak.

‘Remember, if you’re sick, if you’re just so sick, you can’t, darling, I don’t think…

‘Get up,’ Trump says, playing the part of the partner in his made-up conversation.

Trump said his supporters would be safe if they caucus for him.

‘You’re going to be safe,’ he added. ‘And again, it’s going to be all indoors.’

The caucuses are a huge operation, and some candidates have plans in place to make sure supporters are driven to precincts amid warnings of low temperatures with intense wind chills.

Ron DeSantis says he likes being the ‘underdog’ and declines to set target for Iowa caucuses as he lambasts Trump for ‘trashing’ state’s Governor

Gov. Ron DeSantis is touting his ‘underdog’ status heading into tonight’s Iowa caucuses and hit Donald Trump for ‘trashing’ Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds after she snubbed him and endorsed DeSantis.

‘I always like being the underdog. I mean, that’s been true,’ he said on Fox News in a final interview ahead of the kickoff of the caucuses at 8 p.m. ET.

The Florida governor told host Steve Doocy on Fox & Friends this morning that he wants ‘all Republicans’ to do well.

He referenced the last minute endorsement by former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan in support of his rival Nikki Haley.

‘I want all republicans to do well. There is a Republican governor that’s endorsed another candidate, but they are doing well. I’m not going to trash them,’ he explained.

‘I’m glad that they are doing it. I think every Republican should look at governor Reynolds and say, ‘you know what? She is getting the job done.”

‘I think with Trump that’s not how he sees it. She didn’t endorse him, so he trashes her,’ lambasted DeSantis.

‘You can’t build a movement like that, you have got to have, you know, a strong tent and you have got to have anyone that’s polling in the right direction, they need to be supporting,’ the governor continued.

I’m glad she is supporting me, Ithink it’s going to make a difference,’ he added.

‘You talk speeches at the caucus sites. Governor Reynolds has said I’m one of the most effective leaders she has ever seen. That’s going to matter for these folks.’

A deadly Arctic blast that has put 100 million Americans under a weather warning is sweeping across the U.S. as Iowans head to their caucus sites on Monday night.

The bitter cold has already killed four people, including an Oregon woman who died when a fire spread from an open-flame stove after a tree fell on to her RV.

In the Dakotas and Montana, forecasters predict a wind chill of minus 70, which can cause frostbite almost instantly.

Officials have implored members of the public to remain home. Similar temperatures will be felt from the Northern Rockies all the way to Kansas.  In the northeast, blinding snow has brought the region to an almost standstill.

In Buffalo, New York where snowfall of 1 to 2 feet was forecast, severe conditions saw thundersnow – a bizarre phenomenon in which thunder and lightning occur during a snowstorm.

Nikki Haley makes final pitch to voters in Iowa: ‘The tone at the top matters’ and ‘our best days are yet to come’

‘The tone at the top matters. The ability to get things done matters,’ Haley told Fox & Friends host Steve Doocy.

‘We don’t need to have four more years of chaos,’ she continued.

‘I’m an accountant, I know what it takes to get the economy back on track. I’ve been a two-term governor that took double digit unemployment state and turned into a power house.’

‘I dealt with Russia, China, North Korea everyday. This is a chance to reset. We can do this. If you will join with me and caucus, I promise you, our best days are yet to come,’ she said in a direct appeal to Iowan voters.

Trump is still on course for a record-breaking win. He commands 48 percent support in the poll (down three from December), with Haley on 20 (up four points), and DeSantis on 16 percent (down three).

Haley is intent on a strong second place finish. She is challenging Trump in the next state, New Hampshire, and she and DeSantis are fighting for the right to be crowned the best alternative to the former president and knock the other out.

Vivek Ramaswamy reveals he ran into a snow DITCH in freezing cold Iowa

2024 hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy ran into a ditch while en route to Des Moines.

‘Just got back to Des Moines after a 5+ hour drive in snow from northwest Iowa,’ he wrote on X.

‘Got stuck in snow ditch on the way. 5 of us tried to push SUV out, finally got it done with extra help from a good Iowan. Our next 7 events will continue as planned, starting at 9am in Coralville,’ he said on the social media platform.

The candidate made a final pitch to caucus goers on Fox & Friends Monday morning saying he will ‘fight corruption’ and ‘speak the truth.’

‘If you want somebody who will shut down that deep state and revive national identity for next generation, I am asking you to brave the cold and caucus for me tonight and save this country and we’re grateful for this process.’

Biden campaign ‘excited for the fight ahead’ and ‘closely’ watching what happens Iowa as it prepares to battle Trump

The Biden campaign is already gearing up for a general election battle and will be ‘closely’ watching the results of the Iowa caucus.

Biden campaign communications director Michael Tyler said the campaign was ‘excited for the fight ahead’ during an appearance on CNN This Morning.

Tyler said the campaign is ‘eady to provide the American people with the stark contrast between the president, who’s fighting for more freedom and more democracy, and these MAGA extremists led by Donald Trump, who want to tear down the fabric of American democracy.

‘We’ve been gearing up for that fight since launch in April 2023, and we’re scaling up our operation right now, to meet the moment meet the challenge presented by Donald Trump and the threat that he represents to American democracy.’

Trump says a ‘vote for Vivek is a wasted vote’ as he ramps up attacks on rival Ramaswamy

Donald Trump said backing Vivek Ramaswamy in the Iowa caucus would be a ‘wasted vote’ as he ramped up attacks on his Republican rival.

The former president has changed his tune on the biotech entrepreneur, who is running fourth in the polls.

He has accused Ramaswamy of ‘deceitful campaign tricks’ in the build-up to the first Republican primary contest.

On Monday monring, he sent out an all-caps message on Truth Social.

A VOTE FOR VIVEK IS A WASTED VOTE. I LIKE VIVEK, BUT HE PLAYED IT TOO “CUTE” WITH US. CAUCUS TONIGHT, VOTE FOR DONALD J. TRUMP, BUILD UP THE NUMBERS!!! IN NOVEMBER, WE MUST TAKE OUR VERY TROUBLED NATION — A NATION IN DECLINE — BACK FROM CROOKED JOE BIDEN AND THE RADICAL LEFT DEMOCRATS AND THUGS WHO ARE DESTROYING IT. MAGA!!!

A foot of snow and sub-zero temperatures are not going to stop Eli Weltman from knocking on his 22,385th door of the campaign.

His Ariat cowboy boots disappear into the fresh snowfall as the 20-year-old Californian makes his way from sidewalk to doorstep in Marion, a small city in eastern Iowa.

Laura Scherbaum, 39, opens the door and listens to his 30-second pitch, describing how he is working for Never Back Down, an independent group backing Ron DeSantis in the 2024 Republican primary.

It is a win. She fills in one of his ‘commit to caucus’ forms and says she will turn out on Monday to give her support to the Florida governor as he seeks the Republican nomination to take on Joe Biden in the presidential election.

It seems a long time ago that DeSantis was a rising star and the frontrunner to win the race. In Iowa, the first state to choose its preferred nominee, polls now put him about thirty points behind Donald Trump.

But the super PAC Never Back Down is all in. If it can’t win the state for DeSantis, then it is trying to use its huge fundraising machine and ground game to deliver him to a strong second place finish, cementing him as the best alternative to Trump.

And with more snow coming and temperatures forecast for as low as minus 7F on Monday, anything could still happen if people stay home.

Do Iowa’s voters actually predict who will become president?

Since the caucuses got their modern start in 1972, they’ve only correctly predicted who would win the presidency three times when an incumbent wasn’t on the ballot.

The first time came in 1976, when a peanut farmer turned Georgia Gov. Jimmy Carter won the state for the Democrats.

Carter wasn’t well known, but his efforts in Iowa catapulted him to the White House, where he served one term after beating incumbent Republican President Gerald Ford, who took over after President Richard Nixon resigned amid the Watergate scandal.

The only time the caucuses picked a Republican president happened in 2000, when Texas Gov. George W. Bush, the son of former President George H.W. Bush, handily won the Iowa caucuses.

Iowans tend to vote for more conservative candidates – like Bush – so the candidate who became the Texas governor’s chief rival, Sen. John McCain, focused more of his attention on winning the New Hampshire primary, which he did.





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