Paul Ryan predicts Donald Trump will lose GOP nomination in 2024


Former GOP House Speaker Paul Ryan has said he believe Donald Trump will not secure the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, predicting the party’s voters will realize he has little chance in the general election.

Ryan, whose disdain of Trump is longstanding and well-documented, made the remarks on Thursday in an ‘Insight Series’ interview for Teneo, the consultancy where he is vice chairman. 

‘Whether he runs or not, I don’t really know if it matters,’ Ryan said of Trump, who has teased his likely presidential bid for months. ‘He’s not going to be the nominee, I don’t think.’ 

‘I think Trump’s un-electability will be palpable by then,’ Ryan said of the 2024 primary elections. 

‘We all know he will lose, or let me put it this way: we all know he’s much more likely to lose the White House than anybody else running for president on our side of the aisle. So why would we want to go with that?’

Former GOP House Speaker Paul Ryan has said he believe Donald Trump will not secure the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, saying his 'un-electability will be palpable'

Former GOP House Speaker Paul Ryan has said he believe Donald Trump will not secure the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, saying his ‘un-electability will be palpable’

Trump has teased his likely presidential bid for months, but has not formally announced a run

Trump has teased his likely presidential bid for months, but has not formally announced a run

Ryan argued that Trump has only maintained his considerable influence in the Republican Party ‘because everybody’s afraid of him.’ 

‘They’re afraid of him going after them, hurting their own ambition. But as soon as you get the herd mentality going, it’s unstoppable,’ Ryan said. 

Ryan, who ran for vice president on Mitt Romney’s unsuccessful 2012 ticket, has been a persistent critic of Trump, though he reluctantly endorsed Trump’s 2016 candidacy after he received the Republican nomination.

Trump slammed Ryan as ‘disloyal’ in the closing weeks of the 2016 election, after Ryan disavowed his candidacy after a video surfaced from 2005 depicting Trump bragging about groping women. 

However, for the first half of Trump’s presidency, Ryan led the House GOP majority and had a tenuous working relationship with Trump, working with him to pass major tax cuts. 

Ryan declined to seek reelection to Congress in 2018, when Republicans lost their House majority. 

Trump and Ryan have a longstanding mutual distaste for each other, though Ryan led the GOP House majority for the first two years of Trump's term. They are seen above in November 2016

Trump and Ryan have a longstanding mutual distaste for each other, though Ryan led the GOP House majority for the first two years of Trump’s term. They are seen above in November 2016

In the interview this week, Ryan predicted that the field for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination would be crowded — but said that candidates will be reluctant to be the first to announce.

‘I think people will delay their decisions, and they’ll wait for somebody else to take the first plunge to take the ire of Trump, to have him go after that person and try and hurt them with MAGA voters, so then they can follow behind,’ Ryan said.

‘But the person who gets in the race earlier can organize earlier, can sign up supporters earlier, can sign up donors earlier, can get a better jump on it, so it really is a total prisoner’s dilemma,’ he added.

‘There’s a handful of people that are going to run, because it’s the only cycle they can run in. They can’t wait until 2028,’ said Ryan. ‘They’ve got to go now, if they’re ever going to go. And they don’t want to die without ever trying.’

Aside from Trump, Republicans viewed as likely candidates in 2024 include governors Ron DeSantis of Florida, Kristi Noem of South Dakota, and Larry Hogan of Maryland. 

Former Vice President Mike Pence and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo are also seen as likely to pursue the nomination.

Aside from Trump, Republicans viewed as likely candidates in 2024 include governors Ron DeSantis of Florida (center), Kristi Noem of South Dakota, and Larry Hogan of Maryland

Aside from Trump, Republicans viewed as likely candidates in 2024 include governors Ron DeSantis of Florida (center), Kristi Noem of South Dakota, and Larry Hogan of Maryland

Ryan's remarks came in a conversation with Kevin Kajiwara (left), an executive at Teneo, the consultancy where Ryan is vice chairman

Ryan’s remarks came in a conversation with Kevin Kajiwara (left), an executive at Teneo, the consultancy where Ryan is vice chairman

After former congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard publicly quit the Democratic Party this week, some oddsmakers placed her as the third likeliest GOP presidential nominee, after Trump and DeSantis.

Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is also thought to be eyeing a bid. 

In his remarks on Thursday, Ryan also predicted that Republicans will regain control of the House, saying the future of the Senate remains less clear.

He also said that the size of the Republican House majority will depend on swing voters in the suburbs, who dislike Trump but are concerned about the direction of the economy under Democrats.

Ryan predicted that if voters are focused more on the economy in the final weeks before the November 8 election, Republicans will make stronger gains. 

‘Right now, the polling is showing that it’s more about economics, which is why the Democrats are going to do everything they can to make it about Trump,’ he said.

‘He is the Democrats’ weapon against us, he’s the cudgel against us, especially in our swing districts,’ said Ryan.

‘So the question is, is he in the news, in the know, in front of our faces on TV, ten, five, two days out, or not?’



Read More

Leave a comment

This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More